Breaking news informs us that Taliban leader Baitullah Mehsud is “believed dead when a drone fired two Hellfire missiles along the Afghan border”. U.S. and Pakistani officials have yet to confirm the reports let alone acknowledge this as a triumph against Tehrik-e-Taliban, the organization Mehsud headed. Pakistani Interior Minister Rehman Malik expressed “cautious optimism” while the White House mentioned “strong indications” that the leader was killed. Tehrik-e-Insaaf under Mehsud’s leadership is said to have terrorized all walks of life in Pakistan with organized suicide bombings that killed soldiers, ISI, police and civilians. According to some estimates, Mehsud maintained command of up to 5,000 fighters (in 2007, before the increased offensive by Pakistani military and ISI forces) and question if obliterating him will be a significant blow to the organization given that a new leader is already in waiting. Also, these events further the debate on weather drone attacks are effective, worth the costs, and should be continued and if so, to what extent in Pakistan.
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On the note about a leader being in waiting — there was actually some doubt as to who it would be (don’t recall their names, but one was a general of sorts and another was his driver-turned-commander)… and now it seems there is some infighting over who will take over: http://in.reuters.com/article/topNews/idINIndia-41630120090808?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews
My initial reaction to this was a slightly depressing outlook of “okay, he’s dead, they’ll just find another..”, but the infighting might mean there isn’t clear leadership — which results in segregation of the group. To any group, that definitely leads to weakening and occasionally leads to dismantling. Hopefully this time it means both.
There were then unconfirmed reports of a deadly shooting at a meeting of top Taliban commanders who convened to discuss the choice of a successor to Mehsud.
What a wonderful opportunity for another bountiful drone attack.
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